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2025-07-14 Monday
  • 07:58:59

    [CICC: This Federal Reserve meeting sent a signal that interest rates may stay at high levels for longer] This Federal Reserve meeting sent a signal that interest rates may stay at high levels for longer. This meeting raised the interest rate endpoint in 2024 from 4.6% (implying 4 interest rate cuts) to 5.1% (implying 2 interest rate cuts), which is in line with the CME interest rate futures expectation before the meeting that it would start around June to July 2024. ~The 4th rate cut is more hawkish. Correspondingly, the Federal Reserve has significantly raised its economic data forecast for this year and next (GDP has been raised from 1.0% and 1.1% to 2.1% and 1.5%). The PCE inflation forecast has remained basically unchanged. The market is concerned about the long-term interest rate R* Also remains unchanged. This change is also the main cause of market volatility.

  • 07:22:42

    Russian Ministry of Defense: Russian air defense forces destroyed 19 drones in Crimea and the Black Sea, and 3 drones in other areas.

  • 07:09:06

    The Thai prime minister seeks to increase GDP growth to an average of 5% during his term, and Thailand seeks more U.S. investment, with ties expected to deepen this year.

  • 07:01:45

    The Hong Kong Monetary Authority kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5.75%.

  • 06:48:43

    Source: Ukrainian President Zelensky ends meeting with business leaders in New York.

  • 06:47:53

    South Korean Finance Minister Choo Kyung-ho said that currency liquidity conditions will be closely monitored.

  • 06:29:42

    Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida: Economic measures will include social measures to help cope with population decline.

  • 06:28:19

    U.S. House Speaker McCarthy: It is expected that after the defense appropriation bill, House Republican members will begin to advance other appropriation bills.

  • 06:28:12

    U.S. House Speaker McCarthy: House Republicans are "very close" to reaching agreement on a short-term spending bill.

  • 06:27:10

    U.S. House Speaker McCarthy: The House will vote on defense funding rules on Thursday, with the support of two of the five Republicans who opposed the measure on Tuesday.

  • 06:26:20

    Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida: Japan’s economic situation remains unstable.

  • 06:23:21

    Asked about criticism that production cuts would be beneficial to Russia, the Saudi crown prince said the production cuts were entirely based on market supply and demand.

  • 06:10:28

    According to Fox News: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said he is willing to work with whoever leads Israel if there is a breakthrough in normalization talks with Israel.

  • 06:00:29

    Brazilian Foreign Minister Vieira: If possible, Brazilian President Lula can meet with Russian President Putin.

  • 05:48:53

    US President Biden: There will be announcements on combating climate change in the next few days.

  • 05:47:49

    The Brazilian Central Bank has raised its CPI growth forecast for the next three years: CPI growth is expected to be 5% in 2023, compared with the previous estimate of 4.9%; 3.5% in 2024, compared with the previous estimate of 3.4%; and 3.1% in 2025, compared with the previous estimate of 3% .

  • 05:44:26

    The Central Bank of Brazil: It is expected that inflation will decline slowly, part of the CPI will be re-anchored, and tightening policies will continue to be implemented.

  • 05:41:00

    Brazilian Central Bank: The current rate of interest rate cuts is appropriate and the rate of rate cuts depends on the data.

  • 05:40:29

    The Brazilian Central Bank predicts that the next interest rate cut will also be 50BP.

  • 05:38:42

    The Brazilian central bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points, lowering the benchmark interest rate from 13.25% to 12.75%, in line with expectations.

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